From the LA Times opinion section:
Â Is the science of global warming too controversial to be included in California’s science textbooks?
A state Senate bill, which passed the chamber in January, would mandate that climate change be a science topic taught in the state’s public schools. But the legislation, now in the Assembly, has drawn fire from some lawmakers, who say the science is too controversial for inclusion in the curriculum. They want guarantees that the views of skeptics will be included.
But those objections are just silly. The reality is that there is no disagreement any longer among scientists on the major principles, causes and effects of global warming.
Silly, eh? The matter is closed, no more debate, shut up and move along. So say the “progressive” stiflers of scientific dissent. But wait!
MiklÃ³s ZÃ¡goni isn’t just a physicist and environmental researcher.Â He is alsoÂ a global warming activist and Hungary’s most outspoken supporter of the Kyoto Protocol. Or was. That was until he learned the details of a new theory of the greenhouse effect, one that not only gave far more accurate climate predictionsÂ here onÂ Earth, but Mars too. The theory was developedÂ by another Hungarian scientist, Ferenc Miskolczi, an atmospheric physicist with 30 years of experience and a former researcher with NASA’s Langley Research Center.After studying it, ZÃ¡goni stopped calling global warming a crisis, and has instead focused on presenting the new theory to other climatologists. The data fit extremely well.Â “I fell in love,” he stated at the International Climate Change Conference this week.
“Runaway greenhouse theories contradict energy balance equations,” Miskolczi states.Â Just as the theory of relativity sets an upper limit on velocity, his theory sets an upper limit on the greenhouse effect, a limit which prevents it from warming the Earth more than a certain amount.
How did modern researchers make such a mistake? They relied upon equations derived over 80 years ago, equations which left off one term from the final solution.Miskolczi’s story reads like a book. Looking at a series of differential equations for the greenhouse effect, he noticed the solution — originally done in 1922 by Arthur Milne, but stillÂ used by climate researchers today — ignored boundary conditions by assuming an “infinitely thick” atmosphere. Similar assumptions are common when solving differential equations; they simplify the calculations and often result in a result that still very closely matches reality. But not always.
So Miskolczi rederived the solution, this time using the proper boundary conditions for an atmosphere that is not infinite. His result included a new term, which acts as a negative feedback to counter the positive forcing. At low levels, the new term means a smallÂ difference … but as greenhouse gases rise, the negative feedback predominates, forcing values back down.
What happens when a scientist turns heretic?
NASA refused to release the results.Â Miskolczi believes their motivation is simple.Â “Money”, he tells DailyTech.Â Research that contradicts the view of an impending crisis jeopardizes funding, not only for his own atmosphere-monitoring project, but all climate-change research.Â Currently, funding for climate research tops $5 billion per year.Miskolczi resigned in protest, stating in his resignation letter, “Unfortunately my working relationship with my NASA supervisors eroded to a level that I am not able to tolerate.Â My idea of the freedom of science cannot coexist with the recent NASA practice of handling new climate change related scientific results.”
His theory was eventually published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal in his home country of Hungary.
The conclusions are supported by research published in the Journal of Geophysical Research last year from Steven Schwartz of Brookhaven National Labs, who gave statistical evidenceÂ that the Earth’s response to carbon dioxide was grossly overstated.Â It also helps toÂ explain why current global climate models continually predict more warming than actually measured.