One paradox of modern American life is people live better than ever, yet feel put out. It’s as if the Beverly Hills brat syndrome is contagious.
Dennis Prager, who devotes one radio hour weekly to the subject of happiness, observed how happy some of the poorest people in India seem to be. One answer to the paradox is that marketers work to convince us that things make us happy, which they don’t. Things make us comfortable, but never happy.
Some of the gloomiest words come from Democrats. To hear them, you’d think every city has breadlines and broken men. For example, last November, Alec Baldwin wrote this on the Huffington Post:
This country is coming apart. And people are in a lot of pain about that. Eight years of these lunatics raping everything they see has been exhausting. Americans are exhausted. Our system is breaking down, slowly, and people are, when they get honest about it, frightened about what that means, short and long term.
Recently, David Letterman said something similar. Tom Brokaw, sitting in the guest chair, set him straight, rattling off facts about the state of the nation in 1968. Now, that was a rough year. But compared with, say, 1938, it was still nothing to gripe about.
In the WSJ, Gregg Easterbrook wrote “Life Is Good, So Why Do We Feel So Bad?”
The Democratic National Committee recently ran an ad blasting John McCain for saying the country is “better off” than in 2000. Yet, arguably, except as regards the Iraq war, Mr. McCain’s statement is true. In turn, Mr. McCain is blasting Barack Obama for suggesting that international tensions are not as bad as they’ve been made to seem. Yet, arguably, Mr. Obama is right.
And arguably, we’re better off because of the Iraq war — but that’s another argument.
Democratic attacks on Mr. McCain and Republican attacks on Mr. Obama both seek to punish impermissibly positive thoughts. At a time when there exists a sense of crisis over the economy, fuel prices and many other issues, this reinforces the odd, two realities of life in the United States today: The way we are, and the way we think we are. The way we are could use some work, but overall, is pretty good. The way we think we are is terrible, horrible, awful. Possibly worse.
The case that things are basically pretty good? Unemployment is 5.5%, low by historical standards; income is rising slightly ahead of inflation; housing prices are down, but the typical house is still worth a third more than in 2000; 94% of Americans do not have threatened mortgages, and of those who do, most will keep their homes.
Inflation was up in 2007, but this stands out because the 16 previous years were close to inflation-free; living standards are the highest they have ever been, including living standards for the middle class and for the poor.
All forms of pollution other than greenhouse gases are in decline; cancer, heart disease and stroke incidence are declining; crime is in a long-term cycle of significant decline; education levels are at all-time highs.
Sure, gas prices are up, the dollar is weak and credit is tight – but these are complaints at the margin of a mainly healthy society.
Cheers, right?
Yet the mood of public discourse is four-alarm panic. A recent CBS News/New York Times poll showed “Americans’ views on the economy and the general state of the country have hit an all-time low,” with 81% saying the nation is on the “wrong track” – the worst-ever number for this barometer. Some 78% told pollsters the U.S. is worse off today than five years ago, the highest percentage to say this since the CBS News/New York Times survey began tracking the question in 1986. Watch any news channel, listen to any political debate, read any pundit. The consensus is we’re headed to hell in a handbasket.
Campaigning in Pennsylvania in April, Hillary Clinton said “We need to go back to the prosperity of the 1990s,” a comment that drew loud, enthusiastic applause. Converted to today’s dollars, per-capita income in the Keystone State is 23% higher than in 1990. People may think Pennsylvania was more prosperous in the past, but the state is better off today. The same can be said for most (needless to say, not all) parts of the country and most demographics. Most are, right now, the best-off they have ever been.
Democrats and Big Baloney don’t want Americans to think happy thoughts in an election year. “Change” is never a priority for those who think they’re doing okay. Just for fun, track the number of times you read “rough economic times” or some equivalent in the media. You’ll even find gloomy sentiments in the food section.
Thus it was in 1992, when Bill Clinton ran for his first term. After years of steady economic growth, America was in a shallow, 8-month-long recession. Democrats and the media repeated “worst economy since the Great Depression” enough times that enough people believed it. (Although Clinton still only got 43% of the popular vote.) By election day, the economy was already on a tear, with 4.8% GDP growth.
The relentlessly negative impressions of American life presented by the media, including the entertainment media, explain something otherwise puzzling that shows up in psychological data.
When asked about the country’s economy, schools, health care or community spirit, Americans tell pollsters the situation is dreadful. But when asked about their own jobs, schools, doctors and communities, people tell pollsters the situation is good. Our impressions of ourselves and our neighbors come from personal experience. Our impressions of the nation as a whole come from the media and from political blather, which both exaggerate the negative.
So tune out, turn off and drop the frown.